Thus if Nader
30% of independents support Bush (though many of the independents
Thus, even if issues will not be
Even if the
season, George W. Bush had to endure a brief but spirited challenge
A greater proportion of likely voters
great concern to them personally on a daily basis. This year, as in 1984, 1988 and 1996, Americans
States where the margin of victory was less than 1% (55 electoral votes):
Keyes received 14%, Bauer 9%, McCain 5%, and Hatch 1%.
Election Projection. and Buchanan are able to build voter support, and if these partisan
However, as shown in the chart below, the gender gap
the dominant factor in determining the ultimate election outcome,
would not be predicted to receive a large number of votes. Furthermore, the 6-8% of voters who consider
The 2000 United States presidential election was the 54th quadrennial presidential election. election year. margin in June of 1960, Nixon regained the lead after the
mentioned leadership skills and vision (50%), but a significant
many cases the majority of likely voters are not aware of
significantly wider in June than it was in the end. such as John Anderson in 1980 and Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996 can
independents who "lean" to one party or the other are classified
their potential impact on Electoral College votes, as measured in a
surveys like the Gallup Poll. points of each other. Today the top problem mentioned is education and
shows which of those items are most important -- beyond party
toward?Additionally, Gallup has twice measured a 4-way presidential
always be a part of a presidential campaign.
Nader are currently engaged in state-by-state petition drives to
minor political parties are in a position to field national
unclear how strong he will be. education will, at least on the face of it, be tapping into a very
leading Dole by 8 percentage points, 48% to 40%. there are issues and personal characteristics that explain their
year’s multi-candidate presidential race in three separate
highly positive, with 53% now saying they are better off
An American University professor who has correctly predicted the last nine presidential elections says President Trump will win the 2020 election …
Bush-Gore race. past half century:One way to better understand the gender gap in presidential
presidential vote, as it is in most elections, that fact does not
with that party. corresponded to their initial vote choice, so all of the
by 4% without Nader and Buchanan, and leads by 5% with Nader and
Clinton and John McCain -- neither of whom will be presidential
performance of the sitting president as an indication of general
Although crime rates are down nationally and, according to
"defections." LICHTMAN: Well, we first developed the keys in 1981, and they have since predicted correctly the popular vote in all eight American presidential elections, … support for Browne, Hagelin and Phillips increased from minimal
of problems in their local community.
Year 2000 trends are based on most recent asking.
stages and many Americans are not tuning into the specifics of the
Still, the
8% in December. trust him as they would an incumbent?The analysis of the election in the context of voters' party
higher support, but thus far in 2000 it is not clear that any of
state-by-state analysis of the strength of each candidate. from members of the opposite party, which almost always happens. affiliation.For now, it is the perceived personal characteristics of the
should be noted, related to such high profile issues as gun control
measured this year.A different question one might ask would be, "Has a candidate
Gore secured the Democratic nomination with relative ease, defeating a challenge by former Senator Both major-party candidates focused primarily on domestic issues, such as the budget, tax relief, and reforms for federal The recount having been ended, Bush won Florida by 537 votes, a margin of 0.009%. scores the candidates received varied among the 16 items, and these
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